Northwestern
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 79.1463Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 3-23 905 H We Illinois 42- 7 913 H Oregon B10 (13- 2, 95.6) 14-34 927 H UCLA B10 ( 3- 9, 75.2) 17-14 1004 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 42- 7 1011 A Penn St B10 ( 7- 6, 85.2) 22-21 1018 H Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 72.3) 19- 0 1025 A Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-28 1107 A USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 17-38 1115 H Michigan B10 ( 9- 4, 84.2) 22-24 1122 H Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 38-35 1129 A Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 83.8) 13-20 1226 N Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 34- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Tulane 3-23 -20 -8 -- -5.88
913 H Oregon 14-34 -20 -11 - -2.79
927 H UCLA 17-14 3 9 --- -6.24
1004 H La-Monroe 42- 7 35 21 0.00
1011 A Penn St 22-21 1 -11 +++ 12.31
1018 H Purdue 19- 0 19 12 1.90
1025 A Nebraska 21-28 -7 -4 - -2.60
1107 A USC 17-38 -21 -14 -0.35
1115 H Michigan 22-24 -2 0 - -2.17
1122 H Minnesota 38-35 3 8 -- -4.60
1129 A Illinois 13-20 -7 -10 + 2.95
1226 N Cen Michigan 34- 7 27 7 +++ 7.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H UCLA 17-14 3 9 --- -6.24 830 A Tulane 3-23 -20 -8 -- -5.88 1122 H Minnesota 38-35 3 8 -- -4.60 913 H Oregon 14-34 -20 -11 - -2.79 1025 A Nebraska 21-28 -7 -4 - -2.60 1115 H Michigan 22-24 -2 0 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Penn St 22-21 1 -11 +++ 12.31 1226 N Cen Michigan 34- 7 27 7 +++ 7.46 1129 A Illinois 13-20 -7 -10 + 2.95 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 3-23 -17.89 33.33 5.26 1.06 -6.71
3 H Oregon (13- 2, 95.6) 14-34 -4.28 46.94 -5.26 1.06 -5.07
3 H UCLA ( 3- 9, 75.2) 17-14 -24.74 26.48 -5.26 1.06 45.10
3 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 42- 7 -36.43 14.79 -5.26 1.06 20.26
3 A Penn St ( 7- 6, 85.2) 22-21 -14.70 36.52 5.26 1.06 88.77
3 H Purdue ( 2-10, 72.3) 19- 0 -27.59 23.63 -5.26 1.06 39.03
3 A Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-28 -21.62 29.60 5.26 1.06 -8.69
3 A USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 17-38 -12.37 38.85 5.26 1.06 -3.78
3 H Michigan ( 9- 4, 84.2) 22-24 -15.66 35.56 -5.26 1.06 -11.11
3 H Minnesota ( 8- 5, 76.8) 38-35 -23.09 28.13 -5.26 1.06 48.60
3 A Illinois ( 9- 4, 83.8) 13-20 -16.06 35.16 5.26 1.06 -5.74
3 N Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 34- 7 -27.29 23.93 -0.00 1.06 50.85
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251.51
|
winning pts = 292.6064 losing points = -41.0960
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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